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Princeton New Jersey
Entrepreneur/Exec/Dad/Hubby . Interested in how past present and future affect each other
Interests: Storytelling - Futurism - Antiques - Eccentrics - Music - Film
Recent Activity
What Second Life taught me about metaphors, friendship and the future of digital societies There comes a time in the growth of every online society when its citizens start to question the metaphor. In their world, words like “platform” mean... Continue reading
Posted Oct 19, 2015 at Visualizing the Future
Nothing is more inspiring than the idea that anything is possible. This open-endedness is what makes the Future beautiful; its inherent uncertainty mixed with perfection - a screen on which to project our dreams. Often these dreams get dashed on... Continue reading
Posted Dec 13, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
Reuben added a favorite at Visualizing the Future
Nov 18, 2011
I grew up in a house where TV was banned. Sugar cereal and candy were frowned upon, but television, especially Saturday morning cartoons, was the ultimate forbidden fruit. Prohibition rarely works and in my case that proved true; I begged... Continue reading
Posted Nov 17, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
I've taken a few days to pause and catch my breath after the exhausting pace of the first 16 posts in this series. Tomorrow night we'll begin again, but for tonight I thought I'd just share some of the feedback... Continue reading
Posted Nov 13, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
Almost 1 year ago, I joined IPG to build an Emerging Media Lab in New York City. IPG Mediabrands' challenge was that with the evolution brought by digital media, planning had become more and more complex. Visualizing solutions was a... Continue reading
Posted Nov 11, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
Baptiste - wow, now that's a serious set of extrapolations! Not sure I get the "23 works as a cosmic trigger" - it was just the # of days between start and 11/11/11. Afterwards, I realized that it's the same # of pairs we have in a DNA strand. ;-)
I finished the last post by asking for readers' help figuring out how to complete the journey that began here. Many thanks for all the feedback, I really appreciate how thoughtful and considered it has been. Now to the subject... Continue reading
Posted Nov 9, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
I said in the last post that this post would be a continuation of my thoughts on the Singularity. I've changed my mind for a few reasons: The topic has humbled me. When I signed up to do a series... Continue reading
Posted Nov 5, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
This is an amusing piece on the significance of 11/11/11 - Lots of theories, some say bad luck omen, others say good. In general, a great example of apophenia, the brain's desire to see patterns in data and try to create meaning, even when none exists. Usually this helps, sometimes it creates confusion and superstition. Sometimes (and best) it allows for imagination and dreamy thinking, seeing faces in clouds etc. My kids are more inclined to it than most grownups.
Once an ARG conspiracist, always an ARG conspiracist. Where others see idiocy, you my friend, see agency, a brilliant mind at work. Sadly, there is no Brian. The cigar really is just a cigar. Then again, if there was a Brian, if that Brian was the name of our collective intelligence, if Monty Python made a movie called the Life of . . . . Ah, screw it, it was a typo. But you've given me some ideas. . .
This is so awesome Michael. Can you help by explaining this part of little more. I'm pretty sure I know what you're saying, but I like to be sure for me and for readers. (If I don't hear from you within an hour, I'll come down to Coney Island and have the folks at your local bodega explain it to me) YOU WROTE " Consider a lottery that takes half the money and pays out the other half to the winner. The nominal "expected value" of a $1.00 ticket is $.50. But a lot of people would consider being a millionaire now (from the lottery) ten times more valuable than being a millionaire at age 72 (from the compound interest on the money otherwise spent on lottery tickets)"
Jao - I agree that it would be amazing. Whether or not it's feasible I'm not sure, though with sufficient time and money, anything can be done. But you're right, all the component pieces already exist to make this work very nicely. The trick now, as it was then, would be to do it in a broadly available way. Back then, the issue was both the limits of the browser and the lack of broadband. Now, both are largely solved (NOTE, Second Life, which was started roughly the same time OneCosmos ended, did what they did by creating a custom viewer which limits the audience size). Now, you'd probably use a plugin like - still would be a large development project, but what could be more fun. Final and most important question would be how to allow users to create their own content. Some sort of system would need to exist that allowed for Google Earth/Sketchup style layering - if for no other reason that to delineate between scientifically accurate data and conjecture.
Tonight's post involves some sleight of hand. If you've ever watch a shell game or 3 card monty, you know that being told you're going to be tricked doesn't help at all. You're still the shill and you always pick... Continue reading
Posted Nov 1, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
True. It interesting to ask what the odds of one company's success vs. another's. Cliches here abound, right? "Ideas are a dime a dozen - execution is everything", is one that was really popular in the Valley recently. Kinda true, but kinda bullshit. There are great ideas and dogshit ones and which you pick matters - no matter how many pivots you do. The VC's job of divination is impossible. (My last post links to an article on the misplaced arrogance of foresight by portfolio managers and investors). So few beat the market, but some clearly do. Why? Is it cause they bet on people vs. ideas? Do they "cheat" (not literally, but push advantages wrt deal access, terms etc.) Thoughts?
Where do companies that change the Future come from? These days the answer almost always begins with the seed of an idea, followed soon by an infusion of Venture Capital. Silicon Valley legend has it that the VC phenomenon is... Continue reading
Posted Oct 28, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
In the fall of 1982, my sixth grade Science teacher lowered the lights and turned on a reel-to-reel film. I remember vividly the sound of the spinning spools and the flickering effect as the film began. Within 20 seconds, all... Continue reading
Posted Oct 28, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
Jane - I agree and disagree. Without him, the work, which was amazing despite never having been released, would never have been done. His vision inspired belief from the VC's, excitement of his team and all around him. In many ways, he was a lot like the market in a bubble. The whole things is amazing and works until it people stop believing. Then it bursts. At the same time, innovation occurs that never would in the ordinary course of events. It reminds me of a story (it's a joke, but I can't remember well enough to make it funny). A scruffy guy is standing on the sidewalk, holding a cup. Someone puts change in it. He's a bum. Suddenly he starts to sing. Another person puts change in the cup. Now he's an artist. Context is everything.
OK Ann Greenberg. You just won the prestigious "COMMENT of the DAY" Award!!!!! on VTF. Today's prize is an intro to Douglas Gayeton (trust me, this may seem like a silly thing, but it's not.) I'm making the introduction in the public sphere because you both deserve recognition. Everyone, please check out Douglas' Project, "The Lexicon of Sustainability". Words really do have the ability to change our lives and Douglas is doing something about it, something passionate, heartfelt, profound, selfless and significant. Here's a gorgeous piece he sent last night about Modern Foraging He can be reached at douglas AT gayeton dot com - please drop emails to offer help with the Lexicon Project. Ann, I'll send email intro under separate cover, but consider yourself introduced. He's a real fellow traveler and story teller.
Yesterday's post ended by concluding that future optimism often overlooks social changes by focusing on technological advances. Clearly, progress is multifaceted but today I'm going to begin where we left off. The 1939 World's Fair marked the beginning of 30... Continue reading
Posted Oct 26, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
Depending on who you ask, Ray Kurzweil is either a genius or a madman. I believe both. He's a prolific inventor, futurist and the leading proponent of the idea of the Technological Singularity. Often referred to simply as "The Singularity",... Continue reading
Posted Oct 26, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
Let's begin today with a backwards glance. We're just over halfway through the 23 part series; so far we've covered quite bit of ground. Here's a quick graphic review: Today's topic is a fun one, but before I start, here's... Continue reading
Posted Oct 26, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
Whether it's a roll of the dice, flip of a coin or an ace on the river, the concept of "Chance" is more central to the "Future" than any other. In Greek mythology, Zeus, Hades and Poseidon divided the Universe... Continue reading
Posted Oct 26, 2011 at Visualizing the Future
The 1939 New York World's Fair was the among the most momentous assemblies of peaceful global assembly -- it was the first exposition to focus on the future and was billed at the time as the "Dawn of a New... Continue reading
Posted Oct 25, 2011 at Visualizing the Future