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Favorable melt and export condition increase probability of 2019 eclipsing 2012 by the September low.
Toggle Commented Jul 23, 2019 on Comparing at Arctic Sea Ice
Definitely some warm Pacific flow bringing additional energy for melting into the Arctic. Still a footrace with 2012 to the record September low IMO as we have the anniversary of GAC 2012 just a few weeks out.
Toggle Commented Jul 20, 2019 on Comparing at Arctic Sea Ice
As we compare 2012 and 2019 the conversation really ought to come down to the much beloved Great Arctic Cyclone of August 2012. (I actually named this storm while it was still raging some of you may recall). While of course we all know the cyclone did not “cause” the record low that year, it did clearly push the already rotten and fractured ice to that record. I’m looking at the neck and neck foot race between to two years and seeing GAC 2012 as the difference maker right now. Early August will be the time to watch as we see essentially parallel declines until then.
Toggle Commented Jul 9, 2019 on PIOMAS July 2019 at Arctic Sea Ice
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Jul 9, 2019