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Nice write up and this certainly seems unusual, although nowadays unusual is becoming normal. The Sea Ice for Walrus Outlook https://www.arcus.org/siwo merely reinforces this as well as providing some information on how this impacts the people living in that area.
Commented Mar 29, 2018 on Bering goes extreme at Arctic Sea Ice
Bering goes extreme
The melting season hasn't started in earnest yet, but it seems the Bering Sea hasn't received the memo. For almost the entire winter, sea ice has been reluctant to form there, and now that the Sun has returned, the ice edge has started to retreat to record high latitudes, past the Bering Strait ...
4.28M km^2 - forgot the M in the last post
Commented Jul 29, 2013 on Crowd-Source Prediction of September Sea Ice Extent (July report & call for August predictions) at Arctic Sea Ice
Crowd-Source Prediction of September Sea Ice Extent (July report & call for August predictions)
In mid-June through early July, participants on the Arctic Sea Ice (ASI) blog posted 82 individual predictions for the mean NSIDC September Arctic sea ice extent. The median value of these 82 predictions was 3.2 million km2, with an interquartile range (approximately the middle 50% of prediction...
4.28 km^2
Strictly a guess and up from my last guess. From observing MODIS, the ice seems spread out and fragmented, so an August weather event or two could certainly have a dramatic effect, but right now I think we may end up with higher extent of very weak thin and fractured ice.
Commented Jul 29, 2013 on Crowd-Source Prediction of September Sea Ice Extent (July report & call for August predictions) at Arctic Sea Ice
Crowd-Source Prediction of September Sea Ice Extent (July report & call for August predictions)
In mid-June through early July, participants on the Arctic Sea Ice (ASI) blog posted 82 individual predictions for the mean NSIDC September Arctic sea ice extent. The median value of these 82 predictions was 3.2 million km2, with an interquartile range (approximately the middle 50% of prediction...
3.98 Mkm^2 Once again just a guess, but up from the last guess since extent is still just declining slowly.
Commented Jun 19, 2013 on Crowd-Source Prediction of Mean September Sea Ice Extent (July update) at Arctic Sea Ice
Crowd-Source Prediction of Mean September Sea Ice Extent (July update)
Each June, July and August, the SEARCH Sea Ice Outlook (SIO) collects predictions for the mean extent of Arctic sea ice in September. These predictions come mainly from scientists but also some other people, drawing on a variety of modeling, statistical or subjective methods that each contributo...
3.57 M km^2
At the moment, 2013 looks similar to 2012, so just guessing that the mean will be similar. Waiting to see if the MYI around CAA gets blown apart. And there is no "science" for my estimate, just the trusty eyeball :-)
Commented May 15, 2013 on Crowd-Source Prediction of Minimum Arctic Sea Ice at Arctic Sea Ice
Crowd-Source Prediction of Minimum Arctic Sea Ice
How does the collective wisdom of Arctic Sea Ice blog participants compare with expert scientific analysis in forecasting the September sea ice extent? This question seems worth exploring with a crowd-source experiment. You are all invited to submit, as comments to this post, your best guess for...
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