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Not really so much of an "aside." Climate change is the CULMINATION of a policy regime driven by an intellectual fraud. That policy regime has a misleading name: Potential Pareto Improvement. Sounds like a PPI would mean a "potential improvement," n'est pas? Fooled ya!
Lucy snatches the football away and Charlie Brown kicks and tumbles on his Ash.
'A Different Kind of Ash-Hole Problem: Does the Distribution of Costs Matter to Economists?'
Tim Haab: A different kind of ash-hole problem: Does the distribution of costs matter to economists?. Environmental Economics: ... Coal-ash is a by-product of coals fired electricity production. The ash from burning coal is stored in big lagoon-like ponds called ash-impoundments, or as I like ...
That's what they want you to do. It keeps you from asking the right questions.
'A Different Kind of Ash-Hole Problem: Does the Distribution of Costs Matter to Economists?'
Tim Haab: A different kind of ash-hole problem: Does the distribution of costs matter to economists?. Environmental Economics: ... Coal-ash is a by-product of coals fired electricity production. The ash from burning coal is stored in big lagoon-like ponds called ash-impoundments, or as I like ...
Also whether a change is "efficient" or "equitable" depends on what numeraire you (subjectively) choose. Choose commodity x as the numeraire and policy A is efficient and policy B inefficient. Choose commodity y as the numeraire and policy B is efficient and policy A inefficient.
How does one choose between x and y as numeraire? SUBJECTIVELY!
'A Different Kind of Ash-Hole Problem: Does the Distribution of Costs Matter to Economists?'
Tim Haab: A different kind of ash-hole problem: Does the distribution of costs matter to economists?. Environmental Economics: ... Coal-ash is a by-product of coals fired electricity production. The ash from burning coal is stored in big lagoon-like ponds called ash-impoundments, or as I like ...
Exactly!
'A Different Kind of Ash-Hole Problem: Does the Distribution of Costs Matter to Economists?'
Tim Haab: A different kind of ash-hole problem: Does the distribution of costs matter to economists?. Environmental Economics: ... Coal-ash is a by-product of coals fired electricity production. The ash from burning coal is stored in big lagoon-like ponds called ash-impoundments, or as I like ...
"a growing share of what shows up as manufacturing value added in national statistics is in fact services – either research and design or post-production services..."
Could be just a disposition of the national income bean counters to count intermediate production "services" as final consumption "goods". Simon Kuznets would not approve.
Services, manufacturing, and new growth strategies
I gave a talk yesterday on New Growth Strategies at the World Bank, which was more or less an elaboration of this short piece. I argued that industrialization had pretty much run out of steam as a growth strategy, that services would need to be the focus going forward, and that this required in ...
You can say that again!
'The Commission on Portugal: Is This for Real?'
"Gloomy European Economist" Francesco Saraceno on Portugal: The Commission on Portugal: Is This for Real?: A quick note on Portugal. Let’s start from three facts: Austerity did not work. Portugal is in a recessionary cycle. The economy will shrink by 2.3 per cent this year, more than twice a...
In other words, austerity IS working -- for the one percent of the one percent.
'The Commission on Portugal: Is This for Real?'
"Gloomy European Economist" Francesco Saraceno on Portugal: The Commission on Portugal: Is This for Real?: A quick note on Portugal. Let’s start from three facts: Austerity did not work. Portugal is in a recessionary cycle. The economy will shrink by 2.3 per cent this year, more than twice a...
I suspect, though, that these measures are nevertheless benefiting those who they are intended to benefit.
'The Commission on Portugal: Is This for Real?'
"Gloomy European Economist" Francesco Saraceno on Portugal: The Commission on Portugal: Is This for Real?: A quick note on Portugal. Let’s start from three facts: Austerity did not work. Portugal is in a recessionary cycle. The economy will shrink by 2.3 per cent this year, more than twice a...
What was the question again?
Their belts or their sphincters?
'A Serious Warning That Consumers May Be Tightening Their Belts'
Dean Baker issues a warning: Consumer Confidence Index (the one that matters) Declines: The Conference Board's index of consumer confidence fell in March. What is noteworthy for those following the economy is that the current conditions index dropped by 3.5 points to 57.9. This component is th...
Yes, indeed, I wrote my master's thesis on the question of how people know exactly what to avert their eyes from to keep from knowing!
'For 'Faster Growth,' Soak the Poor?'
Glad to see someone (Josh Barro) trying to counter the latest nonsense from George Shultz, Gary Becker, Michael Boskin, John Cogan, Allan Meltzer, and John Taylor: For 'Faster Growth,' Soak the Poor?, by By Josh Barro: This weekend, the Wall Street Journal assembled a redoubtable list of conse...
Dorning Rasbotham, Esq., was a friend of the poor. Nay, from the bottom of his heart, he was a friend of the poor! He felt tenderly for the poor man and his family. After all, what would become of the rich if there were no poor people to till their fields, pay their rents and manufacture their goods?
The Moon Belongs to Everyone:
http://econospeak.blogspot.com/2013/03/the-moon-belongs-to-everyone.html
'For 'Faster Growth,' Soak the Poor?'
Glad to see someone (Josh Barro) trying to counter the latest nonsense from George Shultz, Gary Becker, Michael Boskin, John Cogan, Allan Meltzer, and John Taylor: For 'Faster Growth,' Soak the Poor?, by By Josh Barro: This weekend, the Wall Street Journal assembled a redoubtable list of conse...
Post hoc ergo propter hoc, eh?
'Did the Iraq War Cause the Great Recession?'
Via Henry Farrell: Did the Iraq War Cause the Great Recession?, Henry Farrell: Thomas Oatley thinks that it very plausibly did. His argument draws upon an interesting article (should be ungated) in the new issue of Perspectives on Politics, where he, Kindred Winecoff, Andrew Pennock and Sarah...
"Unfortunately, as I said, we don’t seem to have learned those lessons. Will we ever?"
No. Next question?
Paul Krugman: Marches of Folly
When will we ever learn?: Marches of Folly, by Paul Krugman, Commentary, NY Times: Ten years ago, America invaded Iraq... Some voices warned that we were making a terrible mistake... And those warnings were, of course, right. ... So did our political elite and our news media learn from this ex...
Original sin. Case in point, Bryan Caplan who admits, "The minimum wage is far from the most harmful regulation on the books. Why then do I make such a big deal about it? Because it is a symbol of larger evils."
http://econlog.econlib.org/archives/2013/03/the_vice_of_sel.html#254425
Get it? The "system of natural liberty" is the Garden of Eden. Did you think Adam Smith's first name was a coincidence? Minimum wage is the apple. The Invisible Hand says don't eat it. Satan, the snake, the state -- they all begin with an "s". Did you think that was a coincidence too?
Arin Dube's Testimony on the Minimum Wage
Yesterday Arin Dube gave a testimony at the Senate HELP committee hearing on minimum wage and indexation. His written testimony is almost 20 pages long, but the one page executive summary included below notes the key points on inequality, employment, turnover and frictions, prices, poverty, and ...
"The academic disagreements are over no job losses or small job losses for highly impacted groups."
Wrong. The academic disagreements are theological.
Arin Dube's Testimony on the Minimum Wage
Yesterday Arin Dube gave a testimony at the Senate HELP committee hearing on minimum wage and indexation. His written testimony is almost 20 pages long, but the one page executive summary included below notes the key points on inequality, employment, turnover and frictions, prices, poverty, and ...
1946?
'The Four Big Flaws in Progressive Attacks on Keynesianism'
Mike Konczal: ... When I read people like Sachs, I too notice four crude elements that stand out, all of which are significant problems for a story of what has gone wrong in the Great Recession and what can be done about it. In short, there's (a) no theory of the business cycle and the Great ...
"a curious absence of full employment as a progressive policy goal..."
And since when has "full employment" remained a policy goal of official Keynesianism? 1978?
'The Four Big Flaws in Progressive Attacks on Keynesianism'
Mike Konczal: ... When I read people like Sachs, I too notice four crude elements that stand out, all of which are significant problems for a story of what has gone wrong in the Great Recession and what can be done about it. In short, there's (a) no theory of the business cycle and the Great ...
Ouroboros swallowing its tail or possibly its tail swallowing Ouroboros.
Ageing and Productivity in Economics
Daniel Hamermesh argues that innovation in economics is slowing, and that allows older economists to stay in the game longer than in the past: Ageing and productivity: Economists and others, by Daniel S. Hamermesh, Vox EU: Is economics still a young person’s game? If not, what is changing? Thi...
As someone previously not a fan -- hats off to Caroline Baum for an informative interview.
Phelps on Rational Expectations
Ed Phelps does not like rational expectations: Expecting the Unexpected: An Interview With Edmund Phelps, by Caroline Baum, Commentary, Bloomberg: ...I talked with [Edmund Phelps] ... about his views on rational expectations... Q: So how did adaptive expectations morph into rational expectati...
"consumers see that unemployment increases and therefore begin to save more (against the 'rainy day')."
I don't suppose that 'rainy day' includes extreme weather events like Sandy.
Arguments For and Against the Use of Machines
A repeat from the past: Arguments for and against the use of machines: Leeds Woollen Workers Petition, 1786, Modern History Sourcebook: This petition by workers in Leeds (a major center of wool manufacture in Yorkshire) appeared in a local newspaper in 1786. They are complaining about the effe...
Testimony of Walter Reuther to the 1955 Joint Congressional Subcommittee Hearings on Automation and Technological Change (p. 124):
"Every tool on every operation has a green light, a yellow light, and a red light; and when all the green lights are on, it means that all the tools at each work station are operating up to standard. When a yellow light comes on, on tool No. 38, it means that the tool is still performing, but the tool is becoming fatigued and that is a warning sign, so that the operator sitting there looking at these panels will know that he has to get a replacement tool for tool No. 38. He stands by at that position on the automated machine, and at the point the red light would kick on, on the board, he walks over — the machine automatically stops — he puts the new tool in the place of the tool that is worn out, and automatically the green light comes on and the machine goes on.
"When I went through this plant the first time I was told by a top official of the Ford Motor Co.: 'Mr. Reuther, you are going to have trouble collecting union dues from all of these machines.'
"And I said: 'You know that is not bothering me. What is bothering me is that you are going to have more trouble selling them automobiles.' That is the real significance. We have mastered the know-how of mass production, and what we need to do is to develop comparable distribution know-how so that we will have markets for the tremendous volume of production that automation now makes possible."
That was 1955. We “solved” the distribution know-how problem with something called “credit” a.k.a. debt: credit card debt, mortgage debt, government fiscal policy. How is that distribution know-how solution working out for you? Meanwhile that tremendous volume of cars has contributed to a tremendous volume of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere leading to a tremendous volume of seawater lapping at the NYC and Jersey shores during Sandy.
In 1956, Time magazine published a report titled, "One Big Greenhouse" and the Nation published an essay by Kenneth Burke titled "Recipe for Prosperity: 'Borrow. Buy. Waste. Want.'" Those titles speak for themselves
http://ecologicalheadstand.blogspot.ca/2013/02/robots.html
See also Dorning Rasbotham (1780) "Thoughts on the Use of Machines in the Cotton Manufacture."
http://ecologicalheadstand.blogspot.ca/2011/11/moral-philosophers-stone-compleat.html
Arguments For and Against the Use of Machines
A repeat from the past: Arguments for and against the use of machines: Leeds Woollen Workers Petition, 1786, Modern History Sourcebook: This petition by workers in Leeds (a major center of wool manufacture in Yorkshire) appeared in a local newspaper in 1786. They are complaining about the effe...
Happy Days are Here Again!
'Are Immigrants Taking Your Job?'
Catherine Rampell: Are Immigrants Taking Your Job? A Primer, by Catherine Rampell: Immigration reform is back on the table, reviving debates about whether immigration is good or bad for American-born workers. There are a lot of competing studies (and pundits) out there, but the general takea...
What's the use of worrying?
It never was worth while, so
Pack up your troubles in your long-run kit-bag,
And smile, smile, smile.
'Are Immigrants Taking Your Job?'
Catherine Rampell: Are Immigrants Taking Your Job? A Primer, by Catherine Rampell: Immigration reform is back on the table, reviving debates about whether immigration is good or bad for American-born workers. There are a lot of competing studies (and pundits) out there, but the general takea...
I forgot
"Pack Up Your Troubles in your Long-Run Kit Bag!"
'Are Immigrants Taking Your Job?'
Catherine Rampell: Are Immigrants Taking Your Job? A Primer, by Catherine Rampell: Immigration reform is back on the table, reviving debates about whether immigration is good or bad for American-born workers. There are a lot of competing studies (and pundits) out there, but the general takea...
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