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J Stri
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Looking to economists and the mainstream financial "experts" won't help you mitigate the risk of your portfolio. Economists ( and fund managers ) aren't specialists in tactical asset allocation or computational financial engineers. Because of they are paid salaries, they don't have incentive to do "deep" research into risk management, as would a private entity with their own "skin in the game" and they basically follow staus quo thinking. As you have brought up "Sell in May, buy in Halloween", this seasonality has been accurate in producing alpha in the small cap value universe when used with a robust, cutting edge, and modern tactical allocation model.
Toggle Commented Apr 17, 2015 on Forecasting vs explaining at Stumbling and Mumbling
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Apr 17, 2015