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The 3%/97% thing is this paper:
http://www.nber.org/papers/w10433
It really is true.
These are entirely useless idiots - unless you are a politician
Britain could end these tax scams by hitting the big four | Polly Toynbee | Comment is free | The Guardian. Ignore Polly. She's just writing her usual hypocritical twaddle. Read the comments. They would be hilarious if they did not so clearly reveal the depths of ignorance, prejudice and hate-...
Sherritt in Canada processes the Cuban Ni/Co laterites and they're building a huge plant in Madagasacar, coming online this year, for laterites from that country. There's no Sc capture circuit at either but there could be if they wanted to.
Murrin Murrin was originally designed to have an Sc capture circuit but it was never installed.
It's absolutely true that the Sc levels of these sources aren't as high as what those two juniors are reporting. But I'd say that it's fairly obvious that adding a capture circuit to something already operating is going to be cheaper than creating a whole new mine and processing unit.
Please note though that I am biased here. My own work identifies an entirely different mineral and process as the best source: if we go to an independent source then CSIRO says that either No/Co laterites or my own idea are the only two reasonable sources but they're not quite willing to say which of those two just yet. But this just brings us back to: if Ni/Co laterites are the best source then why wouldn't capture circuits on extant plants work?
Two micro-caps Down Under want to be heavy hitters in the Scandium market
Baseball is to the English what cricket is to the Yankees, but, just as in WWII, the Brits have turned to something “Made in America” (but probably manufactured just outside Guangzhou) during a time of crisis. That’s right, baseball bat sales have soared in the island nation, thanks to last week...
Condolences
'Mrs Paine' - 1956-2011
My beloved 'Mrs P.' has passed away. She died peacefully in the early hours of this morning. I was at her bedside, holding her hand and telling her for the last time in this life how much she is loved. I cannot thank enough the staff at the Cromwell Hospital in London. They have taken great care...
Couple of things:
"but probably manufactured just outside Guangzhou"
Taiwan actually.
" One is that the Queensland project involves a plant that can process the scandium along with the other metals;"
This is true: but that also makes it true of the other nickel laterite processors. They could just add an Sc capture circuit to their current operations. At least one such mine/processor was designed with just that in mind although the unit was never actually added. And other processors have at least looked at it: I know very well they have because I've talked to them about it.
Two micro-caps Down Under want to be heavy hitters in the Scandium market
Baseball is to the English what cricket is to the Yankees, but, just as in WWII, the Brits have turned to something “Made in America” (but probably manufactured just outside Guangzhou) during a time of crisis. That’s right, baseball bat sales have soared in the island nation, thanks to last week...
Strangely, no, I'm not. I've said repeatedly that while there very definitely is a Laffer Curve I do not think that the US is on the wrong side of it in general.
So scotch that particular argument you present there.
BTW, "hack" in English English (as opposed to Americain English) is a term of praise so thank you for that.
"Get Your History Straight" on Fiscal Responsibility
I see these claims frequently as well, i.e. that Keynesian economics doesn't work because any surplus is always used for new spending: Debt and Forgetfulness, by Paul Krugman: I keep seeing comments along the lines of “Keynesianism doesn’t work, because liberals keep running deficits even when ...
"Democrats generally argue that the crisis can be traced to misplaced faith in the ability of markets to self-regulate."
Yes, but that's what you always argue: and most of the time you're wrong. Markets do self-regulate and they do so rather better than political or bureaucratic attempts to regulate them.
Is the airline business better now than it was before Carter's deregulation? Trucking? Heck, railroads since the demise of the ICC?
Is this always true? No, most certainly not. There really are times when markets need to be regulated by exactly such processes.
Now, why did the banks actually fall over? Because they held the AAA portions of the syndications. If they'd sold them on, as they were supposed to, there would have been no systematic problem at all. Still the same losses, sure, but not at leveraged institutions, which is what caused the collapse.
What is the Dodd etc solution to this? That banks must hold 5% of deals they process. That is, by law, they must do what just caused the last problem as a way of avoiding the last problem.
Difficult to say that this regulation is better than none really.
Reckless Endangerment of the Truth
I wrote this draft of a column yesterday, only to discover that Dean Baker had written about the same thing in a widely echoed post. So, about noon, I wrote a second column. It was probably for the best, I've written about this so much it's hard to muster the will to take it on yet again, espec...
"The only other major commercial use of zirconium through the years has been in flashbulbs used in photography. A speck of it, on a flashbulb, ignites to provide a flash of light.
But in a nuclear plant, we’re not talking about specks—but tons and tons of zirconium, put together as a compound called “zircaloy” that clads tens of thousands of fuel rods.
Heat, a great deal of heat, builds up in a very short time with any interruption of coolant flow in a nuclear power plant—the problem at Fukushima after the earthquake that struck Japan.
Zirconium, with the explosive power, pound for pound, of nitroglycerine, will catch fire and explode at a temperature of 2,000 degrees Fahrenheit, well below the 5,000 degree temperature of a meltdown."
Blimey, so much ignorance in so few paragraphs.
It is zirconium powder which explodes, not zirconium tubing or plate.This is why Zr powder is used in those flashlight bulbs, as the secondary initiator in artillery shells and often in car airbags as well.
Zr melts at 3,400 oF ish, something which would be very hard to work out if it exploded at 2,000 oF really: and even harder to actually make it and cast it, you know, make the metal, have it as a liquid so that you can pour it into an ingot.
BTW, the major use of zirconium is in fact in zirconia, the oxide, which we use to make the ceramic plates (as an example) which make fuel cells work.
Journalism prpofessor churning out article on a subject he knows nothing about....how new is that, eh?
Is Nuclear Power Still the Answer?
The embrace of nuclear power by the environmental community surprised me. About five years ago I wrote: Lots of research says that I will overestimate the risk of events such as a core meltdown in a nuclear power plant. And I'm sure I do. But knowing and allowing for that, or trying, I still c...
recent trends below 20% of gdp up to a level to provide a consistent ~22-24% of gdp
The Feds have never managed a consistent 22-24% of GDP as revenue. So what makes you think that returning to a previous system of taxation will make them be able to now?
"Should Losers from Free Trade be Compensated?"
Kash is back. So is William Polley: Should losers from free trade be compensated?, by William Polley: It's been a while... far too long. Suffice to say that my day job has been keeping me very busy this year and has made blogging difficult. I want to rectify that, but it may be tough going for...
"Reduce the tax bill on the poor , oh yes , that's fine with you because it has no impact on you."
You know precisely SFA (yes, that is an acronym, go look it up) about my income, whether I am poor or not, whether the tax rate upon the poor inpacts me or not.
As a German philosopher pointed out, on those subjects about which you know nothing, silence is a good option.
"You miss much of the top 1% incomes when you use Census data , which don't capture capital gains - a large share of top 1% incomes - which is why the propagandists so often restrict their analysis to Census data."
Me? Personally? When I talk about top 1% (or 0.1%, or 5%, or 10%) I use the Piketty and Saetz numbers. the ones which, you know, point out that those top income numbers are very different indeed from the late 1920s. Then they were largely from capital accumulation, now they're from labour income.
You have, of course, as someone willing to shout out on this issue, read those papers, yes?
"We could of course institute a progressive capital gains tax that would capture tax revenues that are now flowing untaxed to the filthy rich , if we could stop the rich from blocking it."
So, err, no.
"Another old standby of the Big Lie : if the money raised by taxing the rich wouldn't solve 100% of our problems , then full stop - you have to do something else."
Ooooh, no! If we cannot pay for everything by taxing the rich then I say we should be doing fewer things.
I really do believe in proper, real, progressive, taxation. Those on median wages or below should not be paying tax. The rich should be paying for everything.
But that does mean that we can only have as much government as the taxes we can extract from the rich. Which is, as you will note, rather less government than we have now.
"Should Losers from Free Trade be Compensated?"
Kash is back. So is William Polley: Should losers from free trade be compensated?, by William Polley: It's been a while... far too long. Suffice to say that my day job has been keeping me very busy this year and has made blogging difficult. I want to rectify that, but it may be tough going for...
"Why , while the U.S. is marking time while China plays catch-up , should not the super-rich within the U.S. mark time , by foregoing some of their income gains ( via high marginal tax rates , for example ) "
I support progressive taxation, don't worry. Indeed, I often argue that it should be made more so: by reducing the tax bill on the poor for example.
"Many peoples' place in life could be elevated substantially at a cost only to relatively few rich"
I'm afraid that isn't necessarily true. There's not many rich people and cumulatively they don't have all that much money.
Income tax raises $1,400 billion a year. Some 50% of that is paid by the top 5% of earners. So let's double income taxes on the rich, eh? To 70%. And let's even assume that there is no such things as the Laffer Curve, that such a tax change will not change earnings or effort. So, an extra $700 billion raised: wouldn't even close the deficit, let alone make a "substantial difference" to lower income lifetsyles.
"For too many readers familiar with your work , myself included , it reads as 'Tim Worst-of-all'."
40 years now since I left grade school. Thanks for reminding me of the level of with prevalent back then.
"Should Losers from Free Trade be Compensated?"
Kash is back. So is William Polley: Should losers from free trade be compensated?, by William Polley: It's been a while... far too long. Suffice to say that my day job has been keeping me very busy this year and has made blogging difficult. I want to rectify that, but it may be tough going for...
"Over time, centuries, perhaps, free trade should tend to equalize standards of living across countries and then it will not cost workers."
Yes, and isn't it great? Do note, as Paul Krugman does, that it will be levelling up, not down.
Note also that any truly liberal set of morals or ethics will place the same value on the Chinese getting rich as it does on Americans getting rich.
Even if it were true that free trade meant no rise in US living standards (which I don't believe for a moment, but just imagine for the purposes of arument) but did lead to a rise in Chinese living standards, then I would argue for free trade on exactly those grounds.
After all, there is this marginal utility of money thing, and that the people of the richest society ever mark time for a few years, decades, while those rising up out of destitution play catch up and start to earn enough to actually have three squares a day seems like a moral outcome to me.
"Should Losers from Free Trade be Compensated?"
Kash is back. So is William Polley: Should losers from free trade be compensated?, by William Polley: It's been a while... far too long. Suffice to say that my day job has been keeping me very busy this year and has made blogging difficult. I want to rectify that, but it may be tough going for...
There are two things I do for my living.
1) Write for newspapers and online. This job is, as you will have noted, suffering greatly from both technological change (all those pesky bloggers) and also from overseas competition (Dean Baker and Amanda Marcotte now regularly appear in The Guardian's CiF section, a place where I also write and I have appeared in Foreign Policy, the US monthly magazine).
2) I am a wholesaler of weird and exotic metals. This is absolutely a global industry. I have competitors, suppliers, and customers in Russia, China, Germany, Austria and the US.
And yes, I do say that this is absolutely fine and dandy, in both cases.
"Should Losers from Free Trade be Compensated?"
Kash is back. So is William Polley: Should losers from free trade be compensated?, by William Polley: It's been a while... far too long. Suffice to say that my day job has been keeping me very busy this year and has made blogging difficult. I want to rectify that, but it may be tough going for...
Trade and technological change have exactly the same effects in that they disrupt previously static positions. Given that the effect is the same, our reaction to it should also be similar, which is the point I am making there.
"Should Losers from Free Trade be Compensated?"
Kash is back. So is William Polley: Should losers from free trade be compensated?, by William Polley: It's been a while... far too long. Suffice to say that my day job has been keeping me very busy this year and has made blogging difficult. I want to rectify that, but it may be tough going for...
Nothing.Ignore it all.
Mr. Andreas Schranner
A reasonably standard 419 with one variation. There is no money, you’ll be asked for a series of expenses and fees and all that money will go direct into the pocket of the fraudster. The variation is the link to a news report of an aircrash (this is sometimes done with car crashes as well). It ...
"To take your wider point on good faith, I don't deny the post-war boom, it's exactly my point."
Excellent, I don't deny the post war boom either. However, I'm not crass enough to try and link it with high post war taxation.
For one very good reason. If you chart economic growth over the couple of centuries since we started using this capitalism/free markets thing you get what is essentially a straight line. What is known as the "trend growth rate". There are wibbles either side of this line, this is true.
One of those wibbles in the 1930s: when, I think we all recall, economic growth was really rather low. Negative in fact for much of it. Then there's that large war where we blew up lots of stuff and people. Then there's a post war boom. That boom shows above trend growth.....as the previous decade had shown below trend growth.
However, when you add the various decades together you get....trend growth. 1950-1970 were great, sure, but largely because 1930 - 1950 were entirely shite.
Tax competition between states is good
An Open Letter to John Christiansen, Director of the Tax Justice Network, from Roger Helmer MEP. Dear John, I heard your interview on the BBC World Service Radio this morning. You were fulminating against the behaviour of multinational corporations who move their headquarters to favourable t...
So let me see if I've got this right.
An industrialist is proposing protectionism as he says that the number one point of economic development, of production, is the provision of jobs.
And we've economists taking him seriously?
Come along now, all together with Adam Smith: the sole purpose of production is consumption.
Sheesh.
As to those 800,000 jobs at Foxxcon.....they pay $200 a month, remember? How many Americans are going to want jobs at those pay scales?
Innovation, Scaling, and the Industrial Commons
Rajiv Sethi: Innovation, Scaling, and the Industrial Commons, by Rajiv Sethi: ..Yves Smith ... directed her readers to an article by Andy Grove calling for drastic changes in American policy towards innovation, scaling, and job creation in manufacturing. The piece is long, detailed and worth r...
"I think that government intervention at the microeconomic level, e.g. breaking up firms with excessive market power, and government intervention at the macroeconomic level, e.g. through monetary and fiscal policy, can improve the operation of the market system we live under."
Careful there: keep thinking like that and you'll find you're a classical liberal.
"A High-Five for the Invisible Hand"
Bill Easterly reviews "The Rational Optimist": A High-Five for the Invisible Hand, by William Easterly, Book Review, NY Times: The word “market” tends to set off a religious war. Opponents accuse proponents of blind faith in the Miracle of the Market. The proponents too often seem to confirm th...
"AIG failed because it sold large amounts of credit default swaps (CDS) without properly offsetting or covering their positions. What we must take away from this is that CDS are toxic instruments whose use ought to be strictly regulated: Only those who own the underlying bonds ought to be allowed to buy them. "
This makes no sense at all. That someone *sold* CDS and went bust has no implications whatsoever for whoever might buy a CDS, whether they own the underlying bond or not.
AIG lost, what, $150 billion? There were enough actual holders of RMBS etc to cover that amount easily....so whether people were going nakedly short or simply going short makes no difference at all.
It might be possible to say that AIG went bust *and also* that there should be no naked shorting. But *therefore* does not follow.
"The key elements are clearing, transparency, and capital adequacy requirements that maximize the flow of information into market prices from the fact that people with money are willing to put it on the line to back their predictions and that minimize the chances of disruption of the web of trust."
We're already doing that. Can we just cast our minds back and recall what actually happened? Those who had AAA credit ratings did not have to post collateral. Thus the implicit cash flow drain on AIG was not made explicit. This almost certainly skewed their view of what was happening.
The contracts have changed. Everyone, even AAA risks, now post collateral each and every day. We've already increased the transparency....the transparency that the risk managers of those writing CDSs require.
Should We Ban Naked CDSs?
I say, narrowly, no--that if we can get proper clearing, transparency, and capital adequacy requirements in place banning naked CDOs would not do any good and would do a little bit of harm. But it is a close call. And if we can't get proper clearing, transparency, and capital adequacy requirement...
"This must be the worst interview ever given by a party leader in a general election campaign."
Tsk, Danny, look, we know you're Tory, we know that UKIP is/willbe/could be sucking votes from Tories but really, "worst"?
Gordon Brown's every appearance is worse than this.
(BTW, just for the avoidance of doubt, no, I do not work for UKIP any more. I am still a member.)
Lord Pearson: worst campaign interview ever?
Left Foot Forward has discovered this priceless video, which gets more priceless as it goes on, with the coup de grace at the very end. This must be the worst interview ever given by a party leader in a general election campaign.
"But the poor fellow was only trying to do the right thing: that is, not to trouser the money himself."
Aye, MEP's stuff. But do recall that when Nigel Farage tried to do the same, direct excess allowances to his party, he was prosecuted and fined by the EU Parliament.
Sauces for geeses and ganders......
Nick Cl€gg?
Conservative Home have put this up. Tactics are interesting - trying to frame Clegg as just another politician. One of the accusations isn't quite right for certain. The answer to the question "which party leader took £2.4 million from a man that is know a convicted fraudster" is Charles Ke...
I'm with Philip W here. The only rational trade policy is unilateral free trade.
Imports are going shopping. Exports are going to work to make the money so that we can go shopping. Protectionism is deliberately making it more expensive when we go shopping.
And none of us are idiot enough to even think of doing that: so why does everyone get so hopelessly confused when they start talking about trade?
Hasan Afzal: The Conservatives should not let populism get in the way of principles when it comes to free trade
Hasan Afzal is a second year student at the University of Birmingham reading Political Economy who has worked as a researcher for the Freedom Association. On April 9th, a major credit rating agency - Fitch Ratings - downgraded Greek debt down two levels from BBB+ to BBB-. It should be worth no...
My major regret is that they rejected my suggestion of "hang them all".
'Sod the lot' UKIP poster: mad, bad or brilliant?
Hat tip to Iain Dale for pointing to UKIP's, soon to be released election poster: He's right, of course, that it more or less sums up the attitude of a sizeable swathe of the electorate. But I wonder whether the petulant call to arms – 'sod the lot' – might backfire if voters interpret its ado...
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Mar 15, 2010
"I think you overlook the fact that many people voted UKIP in the EU election because it makes sense to stuff Brussels full of UKIP MEPs. It doesn't make sense to stuff Westminster with them."
Well, quite. Given that there are no MEPs at Westminster......
Even "Better Off Out" Tories are not guaranteed immunity from a UKIP challenge
It has long been a cause of frustration that UKIP happily stands candidates against many eurosceptic Conservatives who wish to see powers returned from Brussels to Westminster - although without backing immediate wholesale withdrawal from the EU. The well-rehearsed argument goes that by splitt...
"However, because the Soviet Union is a totalitarian state it is very good at squashing consumption--at reducing consumption C as a proportion of output Y to some near-subsistence minimum, and in channelling the extra savings into boosting the capital stock."
Indeed, which is what makes it all so amusing. Marx warned that when capital was a monopoly then they would deliberately grind the workers into the dust by lowering the returns to labour in order to increase the returns to capital.
The only place this actually happened, the only place where capital really did act as a monopsony, was in those places looking to Marx and his thinking as a way to avoid this happening.
Perhaps I'm too cynical but I do find it very amusing indeed.
The Russians (Were) Coming
Matthew Yglesias on bizarre thoughts from Bryan Caplan: >Matthew Yglesias: Overestimating the USSR: I’m apparently new to the fact that for a long time a number of well-known economics textbooks featured the idea that the Soviet economy was likely to soon overtake the American one.... >Something ...
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