This is Wallofshadows.wordpress.com's Typepad Profile.
Join Typepad and start following Wallofshadows.wordpress.com's activity
Join Now!
Already a member? Sign In
Wallofshadows.wordpress.com
Recent Activity
I am wondering why you would predict the loss this year to be equal to the highest loss ever? Why not take a 4 year average instead of 18.25? There doesn't seem to be much of a steady trend. 16.5 average from 2002-6. 2007 a big anomaly year. Then a step up since 2007 to an approximate 18.25 average. If you wanted to be even more conservative you could say that volume loss peaked in 2010 and might revert further to the historical trend to be below 18 this year. Based on the numbers I think 18 is a safer guess than 19, but I'm only looking at the graphs to try to eyeball any trends. I just guessed the numbers off the graph but they are probably close. ------max-----min-----loss 2002-27.6--- 10.8 --- 16.8 2003-27.3--- 10.3 --- 17 2004-25.8---- 9.9 --- 15.9 2005-26.2---- 9.2 --- 17 2006-25.1---- 9.0 --- 16.1 2007-23.9---- 6.5 --- 17.4 2008-25 ------ 7.1 --- 17.9 2009-25 ------ 6.9 --- 18.1 2010-23.4 --- 4.4 ---- 19 2011-22 ------- 4 ---- 18 2012-22 ------- 3 ---- 19
Toggle Commented Apr 10, 2012 on PIOMAS April 2012 at Arctic Sea Ice
Wallofshadows.wordpress.com is now following The Typepad Team
Apr 10, 2012