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TR
Business Executive and Technologist with a Deep Interest in Public Policy and the Art of Scaling (Everything)
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Election 2014: Why Did Democrats Lose the US Senate?
I decided to return briefly from hibernation to do some analysis on this. My findings are posted in this presentation: Election 2014: Why Did Democrats Lose The US Senate? P.S. The PDF version is here. Continue reading
Posted Nov 10, 2014 at Yotta Point
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Fallacies Galore in Ridley's Scarcity Fallacy
A weekend ago, Matt Ridley wrote an engaging piece for the Wall Street Journal that was originally titled "The Scarcity Fallacy" - the title has since changed to "The World's Resources Aren't Running Out". The basic thesis of his essay is this: Ecologists worry that the world's resources come in... Continue reading
Posted May 3, 2014 at Yotta Point
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Whisk - the Open Table of Car Ride Services
Part of an Entrepreneur Q&A Series [see past Q&As here: GLTYR] Whisk (http://www.whisk.me) is a startup currently based in New York City that aims to change the way transportation providers offer, and customers use, car ride services. It has a few competitors such as Uber, Lyft, Sidecar, and Hailo although... Continue reading
Posted Apr 13, 2014 at Yotta Point
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Some Readings on Income and Wealth Inequality and Intergenerational Mobility
I have been trying to develop a deeper understanding on the topic of income and wealth inequality and wanted to bookmark for myself some pertinent research and posts. Josh Barro [Business Insider] 95% Of Income Gains Since 2009 Went To The Top 1% — Here's What That Really Means David... Continue reading
Posted Apr 6, 2014 at Yotta Point
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Disaster Costs, GDP and Climate Change
Roger Pielke Jr. recently published an article in Nate Silver's new 538 website titled Disasters Cost More Than Ever But Not Because of Climate Change. You should click the link and read his entire piece but, his thesis is essentially the following: The cost of disasters tied to extreme events... Continue reading
Posted Mar 24, 2014 at Yotta Point
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GLTYR - a New App for C2C, C2B, B2C, B2B Multi-Media Communication
Part of an Entrepreneur Q&A Series [see other Q&As here: Whisk] UPDATE on 3/9/14: Added some responses from Sudhakar to user questions in the comments section. I was recently catching up with my good friend - the multi-talented Subra Sudhakar - a tech industry veteran, CEO of the startup School... Continue reading
Posted Mar 6, 2014 at Yotta Point
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Unionization and Jobs/Wages in Today's Economy
Evan Soltas’ blog posts and chart, following his Bloomberg View article ("Is the U.S. Better Off Without Unions?"), are quite interesting and worth reading. I tend to agree with his observations on why unionization has declined in the US (and apparently other developed countries) in the second half of the... Continue reading
Posted Mar 1, 2014 at Yotta Point
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The Future of News and Media
Venture capitalist and entrepreneur Marc Andreessen has a series of interesting tweets discussing his perspective on the future of the news business. It starts with this premise: Starting point: I am more optimistic/bullish about future of news industry over next 20 years than almost anyone I know. Will grow 10x-100x.... Continue reading
Posted Feb 5, 2014 at Yotta Point
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The Hockey Stick and The Climate Wars: A Brief Review and Climate Change Discussion
I recently read Professor Michael Mann's book "The Hockey Stick and The Climate Wars". There are several reviews of the book online, a couple of examples being Shawn Lawrence Otto's review at The Huffington Post and Jeff Masters' review at Wunderground. However, I found the book compelling, engaging and valuable... Continue reading
Posted Feb 18, 2013 at Yotta Point
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The Latest on Global Warming and Climate Change
Updated 1/20/13 Here are two new, excellent short videos (about a couple of minutes or so each) that explain (a) how global warming due to anthropogenic greenhouse gases is happening in parallel with natural variability of temperature due to factors such as volcanic eruptions (e.g., El Chichon and Pinatubo) and... Continue reading
Posted Jan 13, 2013 at Yotta Point
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Deutsche Bank's Jobless Claims Indicator is Not Very Helpful in Predicting Recessions
Sam Ro at Business Insider points out: According to most experts, the U.S. is still growing. However, some experts like [ECRI's] Lakshman Achuthan and [SocGen's] Albert Edwards argue that the U.S. is in a recession. [...] But Riccadonna and the economics team at Deutsche Bank have an incredibly reliable indicator... Continue reading
Posted Jul 14, 2012 at Yotta Point
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Reads for June 24
It's been a while since my last round-up of interesting posts, so here is a reading list for this weekend (updated). Economics & Finance Henry Blodget at Business Insider: Corporate Profits Just Hit An All-Time High, Wages Just Hit An All-Time Low Ben Cassel at Real Time Economics (WSJ): "Number... Continue reading
Posted Jun 24, 2012 at Yotta Point
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"Why Smart People Are Stupid" and Other Revelations About the Brain
UPDATE 6/24: I cited Jonah Lehrer below. This has to be read to be believed - Lehrer might as well have titled his article about himself. One of the best books that I read recently is Nobel Prize winner Daniel Kahneman's "Thinking, Fast and Slow". You'll find a lot of... Continue reading
Posted Jun 16, 2012 at Yotta Point
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Stocks and Bonds Diverge
UPDATED 2/22/12 A few people have been discussing this topic of late and it's worth a mention in the context of what to expect vis-a-vis US economic growth in the coming months. The observation is that as market confidence in a US economic recovery has become stronger, stock markets have... Continue reading
Posted Feb 20, 2012 at Yotta Point
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Do Surveys of Consumer Confidence Provide Insight Into Actual Economic Activity?
Sober Look has two good, worth reading posts - "The story of two risk indices" and "The jump in U Michigan sentiment index is driven by consumer expectations". I'll try to return to the first post later but I thought I'd comment on the second one - which is about... Continue reading
Posted Jan 29, 2012 at Yotta Point
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Average Scaling Behavior in Biology, Cities and Corporations
I recently started reading some research from Geoffrey West, Luis Bettencourt and others on scaling phenomena relating to averages (there are always deviations). This is an incredibly rich topic and one cannot possibly do justice to it in a single post, so I'll merely highlight one or two findings from... Continue reading
Posted Jan 29, 2012 at Yotta Point
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Reads for Jan 14
Economics & Finance Dean Baker at Beat The Press: How Is It Possible The Fed's Image Can Be Tarnished Further?; The Japan Story; More on the Celebration Over December's Job Report Gavyn Davies at FT: America’s incredible shrinking labour force (via) Joe Weisenthal at Business Insider: Something Has To Give... Continue reading
Posted Jan 14, 2012 at Yotta Point
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Reads for 1 Jan 2012
A very happy new year to everyone! Here are some readings to ring in the new year... Economics & Finance Bill at Calculated Risk: Private Investment and the Business Cycle; Vehicle Miles Driven Decline: A possible contributing factor; Labor Force Participation: The Kids are Alright Part 2 [Bill also provides... Continue reading
Posted Jan 1, 2012 at Yotta Point
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Housing, Wealth and Recession
I will likely return to these papers later, but I wanted to briefly comment on the interesting research on the recession and the impact of household debt - by Atif Mian and Amir Sufi. Here are two of their recent papers: What Explains High Unemployment? The Aggregate Demand Channel Household... Continue reading
Posted Dec 18, 2011 at Yotta Point
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Reads for Dec 18
Economics & Finance Paul Krugman at NYT: Inflating Your Way to Prosperity; Slow Learners; Lake Wobegon, Europe; No, It's Not The Welfare State; Chronic Confusion Brad DeLong: "Expansionary" Austerity in Europe Economist: Are Persistent Trade Deficits a Bad Thing? Paul Bergin at the SF Federal Reserve: Asset Price Booms and... Continue reading
Posted Dec 18, 2011 at Yotta Point
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Eurozone Government Debt and Current Account Deficits
Background In my previous post - The Stormy Petrel of Eurozone Budget Deficits: Current Account Deficits - I examined this question: Do pre-crisis current account balances, as opposed to pre-crisis fiscal balances, better predict crisis-period fiscal balances (quantitatively) for countries that are part of the European currency union (EMU)? I... Continue reading
Posted Dec 11, 2011 at Yotta Point
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The Stormy Petrel of Eurozone Budget Deficits: Current Account Deficits
[NOTE: The second part of this analysis is posted in the next post: Eurozone Government Debt and Current Account Deficits] Background In my previous post discussing the recent EU "fiscal union" summit, I said: You'll notice that Spain and Ireland were running fiscal surpluses with acceptable debt/GDP in the years... Continue reading
Posted Dec 11, 2011 at Yotta Point
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The EU Brand of Hopium
It's abundantly unclear how the EU summit on Friday actually solved the foundational problems behind the financial crisis in Europe - if anything the implications for the future might be worse. Here are a few posts that get to the gist of the problem with the touted "fiscal union". Let's... Continue reading
Posted Dec 10, 2011 at Yotta Point
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Reads for Dec 4/5
Economics & Finance Catherine Rampell at Economix: Rating the Credit Raters Rebecca Wilder at News N Economics: Malicious ECB Rate Hikes [also see her post from September: The European debt crisis in charts] Michael Darda of MKM Partners: Memo to the ECB - Money's Too Tight James Kirkup at The... Continue reading
Posted Dec 4, 2011 at Yotta Point
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Age, Entrepreneurship and Success
Vivek Wadhwa is an Indian-American entrepreneur and academic who writes frequently, and often brashly, on the topic of innovation. I've always found his observations to be thought-provoking. His latest piece in the Washington Post is particularly so: The case for old entrepreneurs His article challenges an observation by well-known venture... Continue reading
Posted Dec 4, 2011 at Yotta Point
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